A Proposal for Study

How might Salem become the most livable city in America by 2050?

A district on the Willamette River, what places like it have been worth, and what it would take here.

Now City · Salem, Oregon · September 2026
The Opportunity

Investment in comparable districts

The City of Salem set up the Riverfront-Downtown Urban Renewal Area in 1975. In an urban renewal area, growth in property tax pays for public projects there. Property in this one was assessed at $43.3 million in 1975 and at $311.6 million in 2023. Assessed value is the value property taxes are based on. Four districts in other cities are each being built to one plan. Investment in each is between $800 million and $2.5 billion, counting money spent so far and money planned. A district on Salem’s riverfront could draw investment in the same range. Now City proposes studies of three things in Salem: a plan to bring employers and workers here together, one plan for the whole riverfront area, and the cost of building. The studies would also estimate what a district here could be worth in ten and twenty years.

$43.3M
Salem Riverfront-Downtown renewal area: assessed value, 1975
$311.6M
The same area: assessed value, 2023
$1.33B
Cortex, St. Louis: spent to date
~$2.5B
Mission Rock, San Francisco: planned at full buildout
~$2.0B
The Yards, Washington DC: private investment at full buildout
$800M+
195 District, Providence: private investment announced or attracted
Assessed value and investment measure different things. Read the figures for scale only. Salem figures: City of Salem. Precedents: District Value Creation.
The Conditions

What Now City would invest in

01

Economic development strategy, and someone executing it

A company looks for workers before it moves. An engineer looks for more than one employer before moving. Each waits for the other. A lender sees that wait as risk and charges for it. A team that recruits employers and workers at the same time shortens the wait.

02

One plan over contiguous land

One plan for the whole area sets block sizes and lines up the streets, the riverfront path and the water and sewer pipes. The whole area then shares their cost.

03

Construction cost

Building wall panels and rooms in a factory pays off when a district repeats the same few building designs many times. The studies would test whether that lowers the price of a home in Salem.

Now City in Salem

A riverfront district where people can live, build and belong

Designed so that people can build things here and build a life here, whether they grew up in Salem or are just arriving.

Now City is a development company. We want to build in Salem, and we would like other private capital to invest here alongside us.

We seek to engage a coalition of local support to test the assumptions behind the bright future we see for Salem.

Challenge and Opportunity

Six things worth working on here

Each is a challenge Salem shares with most mid-size American cities, and each is the size a district can work on.

01

Housing production

Salem’s median home sale price was about $435,000 in March 2024, up 173 percent since 2012. A district can deliver homes in a mix of sizes at once, on land the city already serves, and hold part of that mix at prices local wages reach.

02

Work that holds its value as work changes

The average weekly wage here is about $1,280, against $1,569 nationally. Shared test and fabrication space, next to homes and next to training, gives making, research, care and food one address.

03

Young people staying

Oregon keeps about 64 percent of its graduates for five years, then loses residents aged thirty to fifty. What decides whether someone stays is usually a home they can afford near work worth having.

04

Families, neighbors and the river

About 16 percent of people in Salem live with a disability, and the 2023 count found 1,683 people without housing. A neighborhood can be laid out around caregiving, childhood and older age, and restore the riverbank while it is built.

05

Time and waste in building

Most of the 16,605 homes built here since 2000 were single detached, one at a time. Streets and pipes planned once for a whole area share their cost across it.

06

Conditions for thriving, in a changing climate

Salem aims to halve emissions against a 2016 baseline by 2035 and adopts its Climate Friendly Areas by mid-2026. A district can keep working through a heat wave or an outage, with most daily trips short enough to walk.

The figures are sourced on the pages behind them: housing supply and the regional economy. The second half of each line is a proposal, and the study plan is how it gets checked.
The Starting Position

What Salem already has

These conditions are in place today and are mostly under-used.

A river through the middle

The Willamette runs between downtown and West Salem, with public land, an island park and two bridges. Most of the frontage is currently industrial or fenced.

Capital city institutions

State government, a regional hospital system, universities within reach, and community colleges running programs in robotics, machining and industrial electronics. Employment here is steadier through downturns than in comparable cities.

A position on the corridor

Salem is within an hour of Portland, the Hillsboro semiconductor cluster, Oregon State and Eugene. It is the only point on that line within reach of all four, and the seat of state government.

An existing industrial base

Food processing, wood products, logistics, advanced manufacturing and a humanoid robotics factory. The jobs span several wage levels.

Land and relative affordability

Developable land inside the urban growth boundary, industrial buildings suitable for adaptation, and prices that still allow ownership on local wages.

Supportive adopted policy

Our Salem calls for mixed-use riverfront development and housing near major employment centers. The City’s 2026-2031 Strategic Plan puts the City in the role of Partner on lowering the cost of multi-family housing. Its Climate Action Plan strategy list, which is advisory, recommends housing near employment and walkable mixed-use close to downtown.

The Brookings Metro Monitor for March 2026 places Salem fourth for prosperity and seventh for growth among 85 US metro areas of between 250,000 and 500,000 people, and in the top fifth of all metro areas for inclusion. The figures reach us through a stakeholder submission to the Oregon Prosperity Council rather than through the Council’s own findings.

Riverfront Park on the downtown bank of the Willamette, with the pedestrian bridge
Riverfront Park, built on former industrial land through the city's first urban renewal area. Photograph.
The Ground Today

The riverfront and its neighborhoods today

Four facts describe the riverfront and nearby neighborhoods today. Each takes many projects over many years to change, which is why the proposal covers a whole district.

01

Walkable density outside a few downtown blocks

Most of the city is built at a scale that requires a car for every trip, which limits street life and raises household transport costs.

02

A working riverfront

There is no continuous public edge along the water, and few places to eat, work, live or launch a boat.

03

Housing delivery at the pace the state now requires

Salem adopted its first Housing Production Strategy in 2025 with seventeen actions. The open question is delivery capacity.

04

A destination on each side of the river

West Salem is largely residential and downtown empties in the evening, so the bridges carry commuters in the morning and again at five.

A large industrial building with a bow-truss roof, closed to the street
Existing industrial buildings on the west bank. Photograph.
The Proposition

A district built around the river

Salem has a river through the middle of it, and very little built to face the water. The area under study runs along both sides of it, because a continuous public edge, a crossing built for people and shared infrastructure only make sense at that scale. An old railroad bridge already links the two sides and carries people on foot and on bikes.

Aerial map of Salem showing the two study areas along the Willamette, one at the bridges and one continuing downstream
Two study areas on one river. The first sits at the bridges, where the downtown waterfront and the industrial west bank face each other. The second continues downstream.

At the bridges

The downtown waterfront on one side and the industrial blocks on the other, treated as one place rather than two. The west bank has buildings worth adapting for workspace and homes above. The east bank has open waterfront that would take new construction. A market and a continuous public edge along the water.

Downstream

A large area of riverfront land, most of it undeveloped, which gives the work room to continue once the first phases are complete.

A district also has time to fill, and the standing buildings on the west bank are what fill it. Space that is vacant or under-used can carry markets, food, events and maker space long before any new construction finishes, so a market, a food operator and a workshop tenant can be in the ground while the rest is still being studied.

The Masterplan

What the framework includes

A working framework at this stage. Each component is a hypothesis about what the district needs, and each is open to revision.

01

East and west blocks

Mixed-use innovation and residential blocks on either side of the water, so the district has a daytime and an evening population.

02

The Greenway and the Riverfront Promenade

A central park and a continuous public trail and habitat edge along the water.

03

Community Commons

Sports fields, a market, a civic lawn and event space.

04

Maker's Live-Work Hub

Light industrial space and workshops with homes above, in buildings that already stand.

05

Downtown Urban Core

Retail, dining and civic frontage on the east bank, sited to strengthen downtown.

06

Mobility hub and pedestrian bridge

Transit and shared parking in one location, and a river crossing built for people on foot and on bikes.

The Public Realm

Streets, courtyards and the river edge

These are studies of West Salem's existing industrial buildings adapted, and of the daily life the district is designed to support.

A planted street on a weekday morning with parents, small children and a nursery at ground level
A reused warehouse frontage opened onto a landscaped lane, with workshops at ground level and homes nearby.
A mass timber play structure with harnessed climbers, a bouldering wall and a slide in a landscaped courtyard beside reused warehouses
A courtyard built for children, inside the blocks rather than across town.
Grandparents and small children on a restored riverfront commons
A restored riverbank with public access, play and habitat along the same edge.
A long covered platform beside reused buildings on a wet day, with people waiting out of the rain
Covered public space, so the district stays in use through a Willamette Valley winter.
Work, On The Ground

The work the district could hold

The employment here could span several wage levels. Fabrication, food production, maker space and light industry, research and engineering. That range matters, because a district has to house the people who work in it.

Large-format industrial development belongs at Mill Creek Corporate Center on the east side of the city, which is already built and marketed for it. This district holds the smaller-format work that fits beside housing: workshops, assembly, studios and labs in buildings that already stand.

A reused bow-truss warehouse where timber framing, machine tools and workbenches share one floor, with people on a mezzanine above
Timber framing, machine tools and benches on one floor, with a mezzanine above the work. School groups can visit a building like this safely.

Make building components

Oregon has a mass-timber sector, a federal Tech Hub for it, and an established wood products industry in the valley. The regional housing shortage is the demand.

Retain graduates

Community college and university programs in robotics, machining and industrial electronics already operate here. What is required is local work and housing within reach of it.

House the workforce

Employment growth on the east side of the city creates demand for housing. This district is within reach of it, and the market study would establish how much of that demand it could serve.

Living Here

How the homes and blocks could work

The blocks are drawn around a shared garden, with shops and daily life at the street edge. Homes face the street on one side and the garden on the other, which gives most of them daylight from two directions. The mix runs from studios to three-bedroom townhomes, for renting or for owning.

A garden in the middle

Each block wraps a shared garden that children can use, overlooked by the homes around it, so several families can see the same space from their kitchens.

Shops and workspace at the street

Ground floors hold shops, cafes and workspace, so daily errands can be done on foot and the street stays in use through the day.

Homes of several sizes

Studios through three-bedroom townhomes in the same block, built to a standard that keeps energy bills low, so households at different stages can stay in one neighborhood.

Inside the Home

How the homes are built

The homes use wood and other natural materials, with insulation, windows and ventilation built to a standard that holds temperature and keeps running costs down.

The Ground Floor

What the ground floors hold

The ground floors hold the things a household needs most days: childcare, a clinic, food, and space small businesses can afford. Putting them in the block means those trips are made on foot rather than by car.

Courtyard interior at dusk with landscape lighting
The courtyard at dusk
Dining room interior
Rooms that hold daily life
First block aerial render
The blocks from above
Community garden beds with families
Garden beds, shared harvests
Landmarks & Mobility

Two ideas worth testing

Two of the ideas on this page are less settled than the rest. Both would need their own study, and the district would work without either. They are here because they are worth arguing about now rather than later.

The Landmark

The Salem Forest Tower

A timber tower with a continuous ramp to the top, so it can be climbed by anyone, including people using a wheelchair or a stroller. The climb would be used to tell the story of the place: the people who lived here first, the valley’s farming and biodiversity, and the river itself. From the top you would see the Willamette running north and south.

  • Precedent: EFFEKT's Camp Adventure Forest Tower in Denmark - a 45 m observation tower with a 900 m treetop boardwalk, climbable by a continuous ramp, engineered with ARUP and opened to the public in March 2019
  • It is described as one of the most visited attractions in Denmark. We went looking for published visitor numbers and payback figures and could not find them from a primary source, so establishing what a landmark of this kind actually draws and costs is question 09 in the study plan
  • Whether a landmark here would draw visitors, what it would cost to build and run, and what it would do for nearby retail and lodging are the questions the visitor destination study would answer

Photograph: Camp Adventure Forest Tower, Denmark, by EFFEKT with ARUP, opened 2019. Shown as the precedent described above rather than as a design for Salem.

The Mobility System

A cable circulator, one candidate technology

Swyft Cities' Whoosh is a cable-based network of five-passenger, battery-electric autonomous vehicles - 30 mph, with offline stations so every trip is nonstop and a vehicle is always waiting. It runs above Highway 22, the Willamette, Pringle Creek and the rail line, which are the things that make crossing this part of Salem slow. A concept sketch for Salem maps 16 stations across 4.5 route miles linking West Salem, downtown, Riverfront Park, and Willamette University.

  • At Irvine's 1,300-acre Great Park, the City's independent travel demand forecast projects 27,000 daily riders - with 4x the ridership of a traditional circulator at one-sixth the operating cost per trip
  • Irvine City Council selected Whoosh as the Great Park’s primary transportation technology in April 2025. The largest Whoosh built so far is a quarter-scale demonstration
  • Salem’s Climate Action Plan strategy list recommends a feasibility study on an electric downtown circulator, including a West Salem connection, with Cherriots as lead agency. Whoosh is one candidate technology that study could weigh

Render by Swyft Cities. Source: "The Potential for a Whoosh Transit Circulator in Salem, OR" (Now City & partners, 2026) and the City of Irvine Great Park travel demand analysis cited therein.

Both are early concepts. Neither has been reviewed or agreed by any public agency, and the district would work without either of them.
For Salem & Oregon

Who this is being designed for

The district is being designed for the families, workers and businesses who live in the Willamette Valley now. The measurements on this page and in the study plan are how that gets checked rather than asserted.

What is around Salem

Salem sits in the middle of the Willamette Valley, which is one of the most productive farming regions in the country. The coast and the Cascades are both about an hour away by road, and the state capital and its institutions are here.

Oregon Coast sea stacks
60 minutes to the Oregon Coast
Silver Falls State Park waterfall
Silver Falls - rivers, forests & mountains in every direction
Willamette Valley vineyard
Surrounded by vineyards, farms & food
Cyclists on a forest trail
Four-season outdoor living

45 minutes to Portland - international airport, talent, culture - and 60 minutes to the Oregon Coast.

People arrive here from the more expensive West Coast metros. Oregon ranked first in the nation for inbound share of moves in 2025, and Salem seventh among US metros, on one moving company’s own shipment data (United Van Lines). That counts arrivals rather than net migration, and Oregon is still losing residents aged thirty to fifty, which is the third challenge set out earlier on this page.

Housing costs less here than in the metros people arrive from. Closing that gap fairly, for the households already living in Salem, is what the outcomes on this page are meant to test.

City of Salem Alignment

Where this would need to line up with the city

Places where a district on this ground would meet work the City has already adopted or has under way this year.

  • Sits alongside the Center Street Bridge project and the water transmission line to West Salem, both of which cross this ground
  • Depends on the Water and Wastewater Utility Master Plans the City is refreshing this year, which would set what this area can carry
  • Would have to fit the North Waterfront urban renewal plan the City is taking up this year. We went looking for the boundary and could not find a published map
  • Adds to the tax base over time, while the industrial uses on the west bank carry on until they choose to move
  • Adds homes priced against what people in Salem actually earn
  • Opens the riverfront to the public and makes the crossing between the two banks work for people on foot and on bikes
  • Puts homes near daily needs, which reduces what the city has to build and then maintain
  • Builds in phases, so density and traffic arrive at the pace the market and the streets can take
  • Keeps growth that is coming anyway inside the city rather than at its edge
State of Oregon Alignment

Where it would line up with the state

Six places where a district on this ground would meet goals the State has already set.

  • Works on homes, jobs and the tax base at the same time rather than one at a time
  • Builds in phases, so the infrastructure and the homes arrive together
  • Adds homes toward the production target the state has already set
  • Uses urban renewal and Opportunity Zone tools that already exist, rather than asking for new ones
  • Puts construction work, small business space and technical jobs in the same place
  • If it works, other mid-size Oregon cities could copy it. If it fails, they learn why at our expense
None of this has been agreed with anyone. It is our reading of where a district on this ground would have to line up with plans the City and the State have already adopted, and it is one of the things the study plan would establish rather than assume.
What The District Would Try To Do

What we would design for

These are the things Now City would design for here. Each one can be checked by a study or a measurement, and several line up with the outcome measures the City proposes in its 2026-2031 Strategic Plan.

Clean air, water and soil

Stormwater cleaned on the block before it reaches the river. The bank replanted. Tree canopy and habitat added rather than removed. The City’s 2026-2031 Strategic Plan proposes to measure water quality, riparian acres restored and tree canopy coverage, so these could be reported the same way.

Homes that hold up under stress

Buildings, energy, water and food supply designed to keep working through a heat wave, a flood or a power outage, so households are safer and the wider city has somewhere that still functions.

A place that works for everyone in a household

Designed around caregiving, small children, older residents and people who do not drive. The measures are daylight, walking distance, step-free access, and somewhere to sit along the way.

Public space and daily life

The parts of a neighborhood people use every day, put close enough together that a day takes fewer car trips.

  • Streets built for walking with shade, planting and places to sit, so short trips get made on foot
  • Food and drink at ground level, breweries, a food hall, small shops and year-round programming
  • Workshops and studios in the same blocks as homes, so making things stays visible in daily life
  • Safe bike routes and a transit connection to downtown Salem, the riverfront and the wider region

A district that keeps working in an emergency

Salem’s Climate Action Plan strategy list recommends a network of neighborhood resilience hubs: indoor places that work as community centers most of the time, and as cooling centers, food distribution points, places to charge during an outage and evacuation sites when they are needed. A district can hold one without building anything for that purpose alone.

  1. Sports halls and event spaces that can serve as gathering points when the city needs them
  2. District-scale power, heating, cooling and water systems that keep running when the wider network is under strain
  3. Homes within walking distance of daily needs, so a disruption to driving does not cut people off from food and care

Food, from the valley to the block

The Willamette Valley is one of the most diverse farming regions in the country, and Salem sits in the middle of it. A district here could connect that farming to processing, markets and daily meals in one place.

  1. Regional farms connected to on-site processing and markets, shortening the distance between a field and a kitchen
  2. Space for food and soil businesses to test things, for growers, researchers and small producers
  3. Food waste composted and returned to regional farms rather than sent to landfill
  4. A model other towns in the valley could copy if it works here

Where new technology would be put to work

Oregon already has companies and researchers building tools that act on the physical world. A district gives them somewhere real to apply that work, on problems people can see. These are the five we would start with.

  1. Making buildings use less energy and fewer materials
  2. Making it easier to get around without a car
  3. Measuring water use, waste and energy so the district can see how it is doing
  4. Supporting food production and tracking the district's carbon
  5. Improving public health services, safety and everyday care

Landscape doing real work

Planting here would be built to perform, in the same way a street or a pipe performs. It cools the air, holds and cleans water, and supports habitat, at the same time as being somewhere pleasant to sit.

  1. Planting integrated into streets, plazas and open space as part of how the district works
  2. Cooling and stormwater handled by the landscape, which reduces what the city has to build and maintain
  3. Habitat and public space on the same ground, along the bank and through the blocks
  4. Open space that can change with the seasons and as the district grows

Designed around women, children and older residents

Places designed around the daily realities of women, children and older adults tend to do better on health, safety and how long people stay. Designing for the people with the least margin produces a place that works for everyone.

  1. Homes and services that let people age in place, which keeps independence longer and costs the health system less
  2. A public realm children can use, with safe routes, places to play and enough activity on the street that they are watched
  3. Safety, access and care designed in from the start, which also tends to improve walking and local trade
  4. Households of different ages in the same blocks, which reduces isolation and keeps people living here longer
From Here

What would come next

Drawing a district costs little. Finding out whether the market, the ground, the public tools, housing delivery and travel support it is a separate body of work, and it has its own page.

The study plan

The nine studies, the order they would run in, who is best placed to run each one, and what we are asking for. Read the plan.

The innovation district

The working side of the same ground: what would be made here, who would make it, and why several industries in one place is the part worth testing. Read that page.

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